Sep 20, 2016

LIAR DENIERS - HOW WE WILL DESTROY THEM WHEN ARMED WITH THE POWER OF KNOWLEDGE AND TRUTH

 LIAR DENIERS THINK YOU ARE TOO STUPID TO SEE WHAT THEY DO

 We really do not require this consensus of Climate Scientists. We can determine the truth for ourselves. We too can look at the data - the massive store of measurements of CO2 in our atmosphere and of rising temperatures across the globe. 

Charles Keeling put his CO2 measurement devices on Mauna Loa in Hawaii around 1958, We have had access to this record of CO2 in our atmosphere in the Keeling Curve and many other measurement sites that have duplicated this result across the planet. 


KEELING CO2 LEVELS 1958 - 2016


This information is quite easy to understand. The number 401.10 is the current parts per million of CO2 in the atmosphere at the Mauna Loa Observatory. Since 1958 the amount of CO2 has steadily increased from 315 to 401ppm. Everything you could possibly care to understand about this measurement is available here on THE KEELING CURVE WEBSITE including links to a number of additional measurement sites around the world that verify this is not an anomaly. 

Even the LIAR DENIERS cannot attack these measurements. Instead, they try to claim the CO2 comes from volcanoes or other natural sources. 
But this is what they fail to comprehend. We are smarter than they think. We understand there is a natural carbon cycle that has been operating on Earth for millennia . We understand that some CO2 is produced by natural processes like breathing. We know it enters the atmosphere and is absorbed by the ocean, released into the air again and absorbed in our forests where green leafy trees use photosynthesis to make CO2 into oxygen. 
How do our Climate Scientists know about the natural balance of the carbon cycle in the past? We know because the ice is a massive storage facility for ancient data on the atmosphere. 

We know the oceans and forests are carbon dioxide sinks that store CO2, first on the ocean surface until currents carry it into the ocean depths. This process was in balance for millennia. We know this because our scientists have learned that they can drill into the ice in glaciers on the high mountains and in Greenland or Antarctica and recover a record of CO2 that now goes back 800,000 years. This record now covers hundreds of core drilling sites and thousands of samples and clearly shows we have not approached 401ppm over all that time. 

In order to better understand and communicate in conflicts with deniers and doubters on Climate Change, I entered the DENIAL 101X course on EDX. This course is nearing completion but you can get involved and gain the information on your own time as I have since last week. The course consists of short video ‘lectures’ of 6 minutes average, with pdf ‘handouts’. This is very well done and beautifully organized. I encourage each of you to at least visit the site and perhaps enroll for the Climate Science course that begins on Nov 1, 2016.

This video by Dr. Lonnie Thompson from Ohio State University is very entertaining and informative. Dr. Thompson invented the process that allows scientists to use a solar powered drill to take core samples in the high mountains of the Andes, Alps,Himalayas and even Kilimanjaro and New Guinea. This involves drilling at 20,000 feet in areas inaccessible to even helicopters. Scientists use yaks to pack out the cores from the high elevations. 


  

The way we know that CO2 is now out of balance with the natural carbon cycle comes from the measurements of CO2 at places like Mauna Loa and from analysis of the ice cores drilled by scientists like Dr. Thompson on high mountain glaciers and by many other Climate Scientists who have drilled deep in Greenland and Antarctica. Scientists depend on a wide array of cores from all across the planet to confirm that results are not isolated phenomena. The cores are shared with scientists in many different countries at many different institutions. The analysis of the trapped air in facilities in many countries ensures results are not 'doctored'.


You have to be absurdly lost in some vast conspiracy of an international cartel of science frauds attempting to frighten mankind with their findings. Simply listening to Climate Scientist speak on the news or in public should be enough to convince sensible people of their sincerity and lack of guile. They are not trained in communication skills and they often bury the impact while putting us to sleep.  When up against a highly paid public relations expert from a fossil fuel industry funded “think tank” they come across as inept.  Their tendency is to be detailed and very conservative with their pronouncements. If they think the data shows the world ending in 6 months they could put us to sleep with that news. but they would likely err on the side of minimizing the disaster potential in most cases. 
What they do excel at doing is collecting incredible amounts of data to confirm their results at not insubstantial personal risk for less than spectacular pay.  Dr. Thompson like most full-time professors at State Universities in the Big 10 makes in the neighborhood of $150. Research grants  that afford us the opportunity to benefit from his research add something to this amount but these grants are not gold mines or stock options, and the costs of these expeditions are very substantial. The money made is nothing compared to the millions spent by Exxon and the Koch Brothers to keep the public confused about the science that proves we need them to cease and desist from drilling, mining coal, and fracking. Exxon and Koch Industries never pay the cost of using our atmosphere as their dumping ground. 


ICE CORE DRILL SITES AROUND THE WORLD

These cores are stratified by visible layers that show the ages of the layers much like the rings of old trees. Trapped in these layers are air bubbles that are a record of the atmosphere at the time the ice froze. That is what gives the scientists a record of CO2 levels going back millennia. We can then see the change in CO2 concentrations for all those centuries. 




So we know to a certainty that CO2 at the current concentration has not been on Earth during the past 800,000 years from the record stored in the ice. We have the technology to see the isotopes in the molecules of CO2 so we can determine the sources of the CO2 that is tested. 


Now you have the basics of how we know CO2 is at the highest level ever recorded in the past 800,000 years. The way those measurements are obtained and wide array of sites where the measurements are taken. Scientists can tell the differences between sources of CO2 due to the masses of the isotopes and thus measure the CO2 from fossil fuels alone. 

There are three isotopes of carbon atoms - the chemical difference between them is that they have slightly different masses. The heaviest is carbon-14 (which, in the scientific world, is written as 14C), followed by carbon-13 (13C), and the lightest, most common carbon-12 (12C). Different carbon reservoirs “like” different isotopes, so the relative proportion of the three isotopes is different in each reservoir - each has its own, identifying,isotopic fingerprint. By examining the isotopic mixture in the atmosphere, and knowing the isotopic fingerprint of each reservoir, atmospheric scientists can determine how much carbon dioxide is coming and going from each reservoir, making isotopes an ideal tracer of sources and sinks of carbon dioxide.
 TEMPERATURE MEASUREMENTS KEY TO PROVING GLOBAL WARMING 

Once we have determined the amount of CO2 and it's source, and we know the data shows almost identical atmospheric patterns all across the planet we have to understand the relationship of this increase in CO2 and warming. 

When we see this type of graph or information - where does the data originate?
ACCELERATION IS EVIDENT IN THE GAP BETWEEN 2015 AND EARLIER YEARS
THE GAP BETWEEN 2015 AND 2016 IS EVEN GREATER
This acceleration of the warming trend should concern us all. 
There is a clear tendency for Climate Scientists to be very conservative in their pronouncements. So we see these conservative estimates indicate we have until the end of the century before the sea level rise begins to flood coastal cities. But their predictions are exceeded by these observations. 

First we need to know that temperature measurements are made at some 6,000 stations across the globe. See them here divided into Red and Blue dots.


This division is made to ensure accuracy by allowing comparison of the data provided. The red and blue stations in proximity show data provided by each group closely conform. 
SEPARATE GRAPHS OF EACH MEASUREMENT STATION GROUP

Once the two separate graphs have been established they are overlayed to determine the accuracy of the measurement 



As you can see the minor differences in the two graphs do not alter the strength of the warming that is being observed. 

So when a Liar Denier attempts to discredit the data that confirms the warming reported by the climate scientists is inaccurate due to poor instrumentation or data manipulation, it is a relatively easy matter to refute these specious claims with the undeniable evidence. 

These thousands of worldwide measurements are taken by different nationalities scientists. These measurements are all part of a public record that anyone can access and even manipulate. One of the tools used to study the temperature changing is available here:


With this tool you can select any set of stations you wish. Even the random subsets of fractions like 1/2 or 1/50 of stations or a single station from any of the available dots.

Once you select the station, random subset of stations, rural or urban stations etc. you click the Calculate button and get this: 


On the bottom line you select a time period. This particular selection is of1508 rural stations, and the trend line is from 1946 thru 2016. Anyone can use this tool and any of the measurements from any of the thousands of measurement stations.  

But the temperature measurements are not restricted to these land-based instruments. Satellites from NASA and other national space and science agencies record measurements of atmospheric temperature and add those trend lines to the data stream. 

The Liar Deniers claim these measurements are inaccurate since they do not account for urban heating. That claim is also patently false:
As we can clearly see in a graph of the Climate Scientists temperature increase or Global Warming, many of the areas in red and dark red where temperature has increased most dramatically are clearly rural. As areas have urbanized over the decades the Climate Scientist have adjusted the measurements to allow for urban heating caused by elimination of green plant or water and the increase of asphalt and air conditioning heat. 

Climate Scientists are interested in accuracy of data. Those Liar Deniers who claim these scientists are somehow driven by an agenda to cook their data in order to keep receiving grant and research money are attributing to science what is obvious with their fossil fuel industry backers. It's Exxon and the Koch Brothers who have the agenda to keep their profits rolling in from fossil fuels. 

Ok so we can now determine for ourselves that CO2 from burning fossil fuels is rising along with the temperature but how do we know this is not from increased solar activity? Climate Scientists like detectives find the fingerprints.

Way back in 1865 Scientist John Tyndall predicted greenhouse gasses would have the effect of causing more warming in Winter and at night. This is common sense. Increased warming from the sun or sunspots would occur when the sun is brightest during the day and in Summer. But at night or in the winter when the sun has the least impact, any warming that is measured must come from the greenhouse effect. Like being under a blanket at night in the winter the Earth remains warmer with a bigger blanket. 

And that is exactly what Climate Scientist have measured and recorded:





















There is no doubt that the vast majority of 90 to 100% of Climate Scientists agree on AGW. But that agreement doesn't have to be your only reason for knowing that CO2 is increasing from the burning of fossil fuels and that the temperature is rising across the planet. Anyone can access that data and see it for themselves. 
So now that you know:
  • 1) CO2 has risen from 315ppm in 1958 to 401ppm today
  • 2) That CO2 has the isotopes that identify it with the burning of fossil fuels
  • 3) Mankind is burning those fossil fuels
  • 4) The temperature is rising dramatically 
  • 5) The fingerprints of that temperature rise track with the rise in greenhouse gasses 
What do you conclude?

Liar Deniers would have you believe in some vast conspiracy among dedicated people doing scientific research at universities all across the world. These professors and their students are joined by over 200 recognized scientific organizations and a large number of government funded research groups. This “hoax” or conspiracy would involve all the different nations scientists and the competing university researchers and professors somehow doctoring the data at thousands of global temperature monitoring sites and controlling the flow of open source data from dozens of satellites. All of these records are available to the public. There is no hidden agenda. 
Use your own Occam’s Razor. What is more likely:
1) That this diverse multi-national group of Climate Scientists across the globe has conspired to manufacture a non-existent threat to the planet in order to keep a research grant that certainly does not make them wealthy. 
OR
2) Greedy individuals with little or no scientific background, paid significant sums by the wealthiest and most powerful industry in history would do the job their fossil fuel masters pay them to do and manufacture lies in order to cast doubt on Climate Science and the Climate Scientist themselves?

Sep 18, 2016

DENIAL 101x HOW WE KNOW CLIMATE CHANGE DENIERS ARE LIARS

THE LIAR DENIERS - 

DESPICABLE, DEPLORABLE THREAT TO THE FUTURE

There are no more despicable deplorable liars on the planet than the Climate Change Deniers. These paid shills who create doubt in the scientific evidence of Climate Change are a threat to the very life of the planet and will be responsible for the death and destruction inevitably visited on our grandchildren.
MANUFACTURING DOUBT
These Denier Liars are in large part found at THE HEARTLAND INSTITUTE and CATO among several others and they are paid by funding provided by KOCH INDUSTRIES and EXXON along with other Fossil Fuel Industry beneficiaries. The Denier Liars also include a majority of Congress bought and controlled by the Fossil Fuel Industry - the most powerful industry in the history of our World. 
FUNDING DOUBT



The lowest and foulest of the Liar Deniers is the founder of CLIMATE DEPOT - Mark Marano, an aide to Sen James "the hoax" Inhofe known as the Rush Limbaugh of Climate. 
These Denier Liars claim there is no consensus among Climate Scientists that: 
  1. CO2 is a greenhouse gas, 
  2. Greenhouse gasses are causing warming of the planet 
  3. Mankind is responsible for the increased carbon dioxide.
This Anthropogenic Global Warming or AGW is what the 90 to 100% of expert Climate Scientists involved in the study of climate, ice, atmospheric chemistry, and geology agree is happening.
Doubter's claim it's the Climate Scientists who are in it for the money. That their research grants and funding depends on them doctoring results to prove Global Warming and Climate Change. But it should be clear to any thinking person that it's the Fossil Fuel Industry that has the unlimited funding and it is they who make millionaires of their LIAR DENIER Shills. 

LIAR DENIER MYTH-MAKING and DOUBT-RAISING

The Denier Liars have produced something they call the OREGON PETITION PROJECT they claim has over 31,000 American Scientists who reject the claim of AGW.
OREGON PETITION PROJECT CARD

The Liar Deniers mailed this card in bulk to thousands and thousands of people and got back some 31,000 of them. These are not Climate Scientists. They have not studied the ice, our atmosphere, or the Climate. Yet these 31,000 agreed to these statements:
  • The proposed limits on greenhouse gases would harm the environment, hinder the advance of science and technology, and damage the health and welfare of mankind.
  • There is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane, or other greenhouse gasses is causing or will, in the foreseeable future, cause catastrophic heating of the Earth's atmosphere and disruption of the Earth's climate.

What kind of scientist would claim that limits on greenhouse gas emission would harm the environment, hinder the advance of science and technology and damage our health and welfare?

What studies have these 31,000 people done that qualified them to make such outrageous claims?

First we cannot determine in many cases who these people are. These are cards sent by mail - there were no notaries involved - no way to confirm who actually completed this absurd form. What we have are a lot of names that once included The Spice Girls, Michael J. Fox, and even Charles Darwin (removed after being exposed) in the list of signatories. No one has checked if the person named actually signed the card or if the Ph.D. claimed is accurate. This is not science. This is a sham. 

Even if we accepted the names and "credentials" at face value this 31,000 that sounds like a big number is only .3% of the persons the Oregon Petition decided held qualifying degrees:
  According to figures from the US Department of Education Digest of Education Statistics: 2008, 10.6 million science graduates have gained qualifications consistent with the OISM polling criteria since the 1970-71 school year. 32,000 out of 10 million is not a very compelling figure, but a tiny minority - approximately 0.3 per cent.
No scientist worth his salt is going to agree to those outrageous claims, but you should know the fools and liars who signed their names to the claims that reducing CO2: 

  • will harm the environment, 
  • hinder science and technology and 
  • damage our health and welfare. 


Anyone who would sign such a statement does not deserve a Ph.D. or even a BA. You can find a complete list of those who the Oregon petition claims signed their cards HERE

That should serve as a clear indication of what Climate Science is up against in the effort to inform mankind about AGW. The well-paid shills of the world's wealthiest industry are obstructing every effort to curb the advance of global warming. They deserve nothing less than your anger and contempt. 
OBSERVATIONS EXCEED PREDICTIONS - YET MYTHS OF DENIAL PERSIST 

THE ACTUAL CONSENSUS AMONG CLIMATE SCIENTISTS ON AGW.

Several studies conducted independently (Oreskes 2004Oreskes 2007Doran and Zimmerman (2009)Anderegg et al. (2010)Cook et. al., 2013) have shown that 97% of climate scientists agree that humans are causing the climate to change, and that anthropogenic greenhouse gases are causing global changes to the climate. These views form the scientific consensus on climate change. 6 of the 7 studies done are linked in blue above. 

The Liar Deniers have desperately attempted to discredit and attack this consensus. As a result Dr. John Cook of the University of Queensland - has published THE CONSENSUS ON CONSENSUS - A SYNTHESIS OF CONSENSUS ESTIMATES ON HUMAN CAUSED GLOBAL WARMING this well awarded paper combines the overwhelming agreement by the most qualified Climate Scientists on the planet. These are the researchers who study the ice,  atmospheric chemistry and physics, the geological record, and take measurements of the molecules in the ocean and atmosphere and the temperatures at stations spread all across the planet. They are the men and women in the field drilling ice cores, recording the retreat of glaciers, bringing up water from the depths of dangerous oceans, and risking life itself at the bases of calving glaciers. 


LIAR DENIERS MANUFACTURE DOUBT AT CRITICAL TIMES

Would you ask your MD for his opinion of AGW and expect it to carry the same weight as the people who have been on the front line in the field gathering the data required to make an assessment of where we are and what our impact has been? Of course not. 

These same scientists who constantly collect the data from across the globe and write papers for various Scientific organizations and journals. These papers are submitted for review to their peers in a rigorous process requiring months so what they present is widely accepted by the other scientists who are part of the global effort to understand our climate and the effects we may or may not have on it. This is the CONSENSUS of 90 to 100% of which we speak. This is what the LIAR DENIERS attack on the behalf of their fossil fuel masters and employers for money. 



In my upcoming segment two — LIAR DENIERS — HOW YOU CAN BEAT THEM, i will share what I have learned taking the DENIAL 101X course on EDX led by Dr. John Cook and staffed by dozens of Climate Scientists who can show you first hand in easy to follow video presentations the methods they use. These 5 to 7-minute video presentations with excellent pdf ‘handouts’ are cleverly organized to allow a layman to access the data and prove AGW to anyone. This Denial 101X course is nearing completion but you can go through the information provided for FREE. While you are there think about enrolling in CLIMATE CHANGE — THE SCIENCE course starting Nov 1, 2016.  
When you complete part two you will know how to prove  

  • 1) CO2 has risen from 315ppm in 1958 to 401ppm today
  • 2) That CO2 has the isotopes that identify it with the burning of fossil fuels
  • 3) Mankind is burning those fossil fuels
  • 4) The temperature is rising dramatically 
  • 5) The fingerprints of that temperature rise track with the rise in greenhouse gasses 
What do you conclude?
Liar Deniers would have you believe in some vast conspiracy among dedicated people doing scientific research at universities all across the world. These professors and their students are joined by over 200 recognized scientific organizations and a large number of government funded research groups. This “hoax” or conspiracy would involve all the different nations and competing universities somehow doctoring the data at thousands of temperature monitoring sites and controlling the flow of open source data from dozens of satellites. All of these records are available to the public. There is no hidden agenda. 
REGULATION FEAR TRUMPS REASON


The not so well-hidden agenda comes from the right side of the political spectrum. The denial and doubt is not based on science but on politics and the fear that action on climate will promote more regulation. When Republicans are given free market solutions to the climate problem — like more jobs and investment opportunity from renewable solutions — they are far more likely to respond favorably. The evidence is now becoming so overwhelming that intelligent Conservatives are faced with a clear appearance of outright stupidity when they continue to deny that a problem exists.
The deniers are faced with a more difficult task with these intelligent Conservatives. Perhaps that is why a Republican like Trump and his followers seem so much more attractive. They are not hampered by a mental capacity to think for themselves. 
Use your own Occam’s Razor. What is more likely:
1) That this diverse multi-national group of Climate Scientists across the globe has conspired to manufacture a non-existent threat to the planet in order to keep a research grant that certainly does not make them wealthy. 
OR
2) Greedy individuals with little or no scientific background, paid significant sums by the wealthiest and most powerful industry in history would do the job their fossil fuel masters pay them to do and manufacture lies in order to cast doubt on Climate Science and the Climate Scientist themselves?
END OF PART ONE BEGIN PART TWO 

Sep 17, 2016

LIAR DENIER TIM BALL - CHERRY PICKING IN CLIMATE CHANGE

Tim Ball is a Climate Denier with a weblog

His post CHERRY PICKING IN CLIMATE STUDIES can be found here

In this post Ball takes on Dr. Michael E. Mann's hockey stick claiming that Mann "rewrote climate history by eliminating a WARMER THAN TODAY period between 899 and 1300 AD"  As I will explain down the page, Tim Ball is treading very thin ice because Michael Mann has gone on the offensive against his attackers and is posting wins in his legal battles against those who have defamed him. 

Today as of this post is MAY 25, 2016 and May 2016 is the warmest May on record over 1 degree C above the 20th Century Average. 


2015 was the warmest year on record by a significant margin as shown in the graph above and 2016 is shaping up July as of this graph as significantly hotter still. July and August have continued the 15 consecutive "hottest ever on record" months so it seems clear that Tim Ball is not capable of adjusting his thinking as the record grows. 

The warmest years on record above compare to the Average warmth in the 20th century. But Ball and his Liar Denier friends are all in a tizzy over the "midieval warming period" back around the year 1000. Those records are more difficult to come by since they involve:


Reconstructions have mainly used tree-ring data and other data sets of annual to decadal resolution. Lake and ocean sediments have a lower time resolution, but provide climate information at multicentennial timescales that may not be captured by tree-ring data.
There are several attempts to recreate the temperatures back around 1000 but none of them have anything like the accuracy of present day record accumulation. Some 6000 measurement  stations around the globe are added to satellite data and other sources to get a very accurate worldwide average of temperatures expressed in the graph above and graphs like this one  


As we can clearly see in the above graph rural area in Asia and Canada are warming more and some spots like the area just south of Greenland are actually cooling. When anyone attempts to use tree ring data to establish the record prior to current measurement techniques it would be most important to know how many records are involved and where on the planet they originate.

There are no trees in many of the locations where we find land based temperature measurement stations today
TEMPERATURE MEASUREMENT STATIONS DIVIDED INTO RED AND BLUE PROXIMITY GROUPS 

From

Cherry Picking in Climate Studies

by DR. TIM BALL on MAY 25, 2016 in GOVERNMENT,POLITICAL
"A revealing comment about the corruption of climate science occurred before a Joint Congressional Inquiry. They were seeking to determine the claims by Canadians Steve McIntyre and Ross McKitrick about the scientific inaccuracy of Michael Mann’s ‘hockey stick.’ The graph (Figure 1) appeared in the 2001 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Report and became the poster child for the proof of human-caused global warming.
Figure 1 shows the graph Mann produced that rewrote climate history by eliminating a warmer than today period between 900 and 1300 AD called the Medieval Warm Period (MWP). They established an Ad Hoc committee under the chair of Edward Wegman to determine who was correct."

Figure 1

Ball claims Dr. Michael E. Mann's hockey stick "rewrote climate history by eliminating a WARMER THAN TODAY period between 899 and 1300 AD"  But the figure he uses above barely reaches the year 1000



Dr. Mann's complete chart above shows the "bump" of the Medieval Warming Period peaking in the mid 900's at just under the 20th century average 0.0 point and this chart continues to the year 2000. We know from my first chart above, the red curve continues upward off this graph to over 1 degree above the 20th century average as of May 2016. So Ball's "cherry-picking" is applicable to Ball not Mann. 

BALL goes on:
One of the first examples that confirmed my suspicions about what was going on with the corruption of global warming research by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is shown in Figure 3. The top graph was presented in Chapter 8 of the 1995 IPCC Report to support the claim that, Benjamin Santer lead author of the Chapter personally inserted the sentence to replace one that already agreed to by the other chapter authors.
“While some of the pattern-base discussed here have claimed detection of a significant climate change, no study to date has positively attributed all or part of climate change observed to man-made causes.”
The bottom graph shows the longer record, which supports that conclusion. Dennis Avery and Fred Singer noted in 2006,
“Santer single-handedly reversed the ‘climate science’ of the whole IPCC report and with it the global warming political process! The ‘discernible human influence’ supposedly revealed by the IPCC has been cited thousands of times since in media around the world, and has been the ‘stopper’ in millions of debates among nonscientists.”
Benjamin Santer has addressed this load of excrement perpetrated by Fred "the old lone denier" Singer and his buddy Fred Seitz in detail with a reply to Seitz Wall Street Journal editorial. You can read it for yourself in this pdf

The specious claim above that "no study to date has positively attributed all or part of climate change observed to man-made causes". is obviously wrong. As found in the posts above this on this weblog we know that CO2 from fossil fuel burning is increasing and significantly contributing to the 401ppm record level in our atmosphere. The signature of that CO2 from the mass of the isotopes is positive for fossil fuel burning. 

We know to a certainty that winters are warming faster than summers and nights faster than daytime. That proves the warming comes from inside the atmosphere and not from external sources. 
So knowing to an exact measurement:
  • temperature is increasing globally
  • CO2 is increasing in the atmosphere 
  • and
  • the source of that CO2 is from fossil fuels
  • nights and winter are warming faster than days and summer

We prove that mankind burning fossil fuels is the cause of global warming and climate change. That is by definition positive attribution to mankind of climate change. This is so obvious and easy to understand it is difficult to see how Ball et al can continue to post nonsense and retain any self-respect. 

The two Fred's - Singer and Seitz are old cold war physicists who worked on rockets and battled Nazi's and then Communists. Seitz died shortly after this and Singer is the poster boy for Liar Deniers with impressive credentials from fields not associated with Climate Science. Singer and Seitz appear to be among the best the Liar Denier's have to offer. 

Singer's opposition is political. Based on a fear of regulation.  Anyone reading denier posts should be aware that the use of Singer is a huge red flag.  MERCHANTS OF DOUBT is an excellent tool. The film will give you great insights into Singer and Seitz from their own mouths.

But back to Ball and his bogus Cherry Picking. 

Figure 3
Recently, reports of the warmest years in the record circulate to amplify the false stories about human-caused global warming. For example, The Guardian newspaper headline for 24 March 2014 says,
13 of 14 warmest years on record occurred in 21st century – UN
Of course they have! The global temperature rose from 1680, the coldest period of the Little Ice Age (LIA) to 1998. Since then temperatures levelled and declined slightly, in what is known as the hiatus. 
Figure 4 illustrates the situation for the period of the instrumental record starting in 1880. It is not surprising that the highest temperatures occur in the most recent portion, even though they have levelled off.

Figure 4
Here is where Ball hangs himself nicely on his own petard. As the NOAA chart at the top of this page shows clearly there has been no leveling of temperatures after 1998. 1998 was certainly a record hot year for the 20th century but it has been dwarfed by the temperatures in 2010, 14, 15, and 16.
Figure 4 has nothing to do with rising temperatures since 2000. Whatever Ball thought this childish chart illustrated it is not that temperatures have leveled off since 1998 in some hiatus.  Where is Ball's data? What are his sources for this specious claim? 

Figure 5 shows the same graph as Figure 4, but now the temperature is extended back to the nadir of the LIA. The trend from 1680 was problematic for the IPCC because it showed the current warming was part of a longer natural trend.

Figure 5
We know the objective of the hockey stick to rewriting climate history was deliberate.
“During testimony before the Senate Committee on Environment & Public Works Hearing on Climate Change and the Media in 2006, University of Oklahoma geophysicist Dr. David Deming recalled “an astonishing email from a major researcher in the area of climate change” who told him that “we have to get rid of the Medieval Warm Period.”  WHERE IS THE EVIDENCE FOR THIS BOGUS CLAIM?
The ‘hockey stick,’ or as some prefer the ‘hokey stick,’ achieved the goal. It replaced a graph that appeared in the 1990 Report (Figure 6) showing the longer trend warming.
David Deming failed to produce the referenced email and to name the source.
His activities caused concern at the U. of Oklahoma where he came under fire for his letters to papers and a sexual harassment charge. This is the shabby 'evidence' preferred by the Liar-Deniers. 

Dr. Michael E. Mann has suffered more attacks than most of the hard working scientist trying to learn how our climate works and how to understand why it is warming. No lesser individuals than the Republican AG of Virginia and his then counterpart and once Gov of PA Tom Corbitt have attempted to destroy Mann. But Mann is still standing and destroying his attackers with lawsuits and the truth. Mann's Hockey Stick is MUCH -VINDICATED and Mann has been kicking his detractors to the curb with defamation lawsuits. You can bet I will pass this on to Dr. Mann so he can do whatever he thinks is appropriate about Ball. 
"THE HOKEY STICK" of Ball's imagining is as bogus as his cherry picking. 
The 15 consecutive months of warmest or hottest ever continues and we now exceed 1 degree above the 20th Century average. This is very dangerous territory since the IPCC and many of the qualified scientific organizations postulate that 2 degrees is as far as we dare go if we are to avoid major consequences from global warming. 

Hard to imagine what Ball is about. Is he blissfully unaware of what is happening with the world's glaciers?

 Perhaps Ball would have you believe this is not happening. But what about the data coming in from Greenland and Antarctica where the loss of ice mass continues and accelerates unabated?
WEST ANTARCTIC GLACIERS LOSING MASS AT RECORD LEVELS


LIAR DENIERS like Ball are a threat to the future of your grandchildren. They should not be allowed to go unchallenged. Go take the Denial 101x Course and learn how you can take on these charlatans. 


For a complete and detailed takedown of this type of Denier illogic this Gavin Schmidt destruction of Judith Curry is illuminating